Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.088103 0.098466 0.109198 0.121112 0.133941 0.147313 0.162274
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.068953 0.083854 0.100197 0.119323 0.140967 0.164573 0.192140
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.056565 0.074409 0.095028 0.120300 0.150120 0.183872 0.224641
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.046611 0.066105 0.089763 0.119997 0.157003 0.200236 0.253947
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042013 0.063512 0.090687 0.126605 0.171855 0.226016 0.294742
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038421 0.061588 0.091968 0.133330 0.186746 0.252004 0.336280
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.033275 0.056805 0.088885 0.133915 0.193539 0.267876 0.365543
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.027862 0.050896 0.083614 0.131000 0.195344 0.277193 0.386548
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025683 0.049457 0.084304 0.135972 0.207439 0.299680 0.424407
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023334 0.047434 0.083898 0.139236 0.217170 0.319177 0.458698
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.020956 0.045048 0.082691 0.141157 0.224962 0.336152 0.489911
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018635 0.042445 0.080893 0.142002 0.231131 0.350955 0.518415
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018332 0.043489 0.085048 0.152153 0.251177 0.385479 0.574494
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015939 0.040462 0.082514 0.152155 0.256846 0.400808 0.605641
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014225 0.038467 0.081480 0.154348 0.265695 0.420664 0.643251
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012376 0.035908 0.079250 0.154478 0.271431 0.436260 0.675329
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011955 0.036244 0.082022 0.162650 0.289293 0.469109 0.731416
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011560 0.036575 0.084766 0.170827 0.307311 0.502441 0.788601
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010227 0.034580 0.083104 0.171585 0.313939 0.519553 0.823454
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008554 0.031469 0.079077 0.168124 0.313873 0.526961 0.844821
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008107 0.031289 0.080589 0.174089 0.328560 0.555872 0.896618
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007481 0.030545 0.080926 0.177998 0.340059 0.580284 0.942361
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006761 0.029409 0.080380 0.180296 0.349006 0.601048 0.983163